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AviationRegister E-Xpert Witness Journal
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Global developments presenting risks and rewards for the aircraft trading and financing market
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Headline News was last updated: January 13, 2010
Service
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From 2001 through 2008, passenger and cargo airlines worldwide reported a cumulative deficit of $55B; add IATA's 2009 projections and the loss reaches $66B.
Project forward to 2012, the accumulated losses will approach $100B.
It will take until 2020 for the global airline industry to recover these losses based on historical financial performance for the years in which the airline industry made profits.
December 2009
January 2010
Airbus order book: Airbus booked orders for 310 aircraft (271 net) vs. 900 a year ago.
Airbus deliveries: Airbus delivered a record 498 aircraft (402 A320 family; 86 A330/A340s; 10 A380s) in 2009 vs. 483 in 2008.
EADS estimates it had $60B sales in 2009 vs. $63B in 2008.
Boeing order book: Boeing booked orders for 263 (142 net) commercial aircraft down by 60% in 2009 vs. 662 in 2008.
Boeing order backlog: Boeing has a backlog of 3,375 aircraft for delivery through 2017.
Boeing deliveries: Boeing delivered 481 commercial jets in 2009 vs. 375 in 2008: 372 B737s; 8 B747s; 13 B767s; 88 B777s - guidance was 480 to 485 aircraft.
Embraer deliveries: Delivered 125 commercial jets & 119 business jets (8 ERJs; 117 E-Jets; 18 Legacy 600s; 3 Lineage 1000s; 98 Phenoms) in 2009 vs. 204 in 2008.
Embraer order backlog: Embraer has a backlog of $16.6B.
Ryanair negotiations with Boeing for an order of up to 200 B737s have been terminated. The aircraft were to be delivered from 2013 to 2016. www.aviationregister.biz
Ryanair still has 112 B737s on order for delivery up to 2013.
Ryanair said there were no plans to re-open talks with Boeing or any other aircraft manufacturer.
Ryanair will significantly reduce its growth and capital spending plans for 2012 through to 2015 & will maximize cash distributions to shareholders.
United ordered 25 A350 XWB & 25 B787 aircraft & has options for 50 of each for delivery between 2016 & 2019. www.twitter.com/avreg
United Fleet retirement plan: It will retire its B747s and B767s flying on international routes between 2016 and 2019. www.twitter.com/avreg
United fleet rationale: The A350 has a range 11% greater than the B747, & the B787 has a range 32% greater than the B767. www.twitter.com/avreg
United engine selection: A350 /Rolls Royce Trent XWB engine, and the B787 powered by either the Rolls Royce Trent 1000 or the GE GEnx. www.twitter.com/avreg
United fuel burn advantage: It will reduce its fuel costs and carbon emissions from the 50 aircraft by about 33%. www.twitter.com/avreg
United maintenance advantage: It expects average lifetime maintenance costs for the new aircraft to be approximately 40% lower per available seat mile than the aircraft that will be retired. www.twitter.com/avreg
September 2009
Airbus has a 3,500 commercial jet aircraft order backlog.
Cancellations: Airbus says airlines are delaying orders by several years rather than cancelling them due to a lack of funding capacity.
Cancellations: Airbus reports 40 aircraft order cancellations this year as Boeing reports 64 cancellations.
Aircraft surplus: UBS says there will be a global surplus of 1,400 commercial jet aircraft by the end of 2009.Market studios: Airbus predicts airlines will buy 25,000 new commercial jets over the next 20 years.
Market studies: Airbus bases its prediction of aircraft demand on air traffic growth in the developing world.
Market studies: Airbus expects traffic to rebound in 2010 estimating growth of 4.5%.
Order book:
January 2009
Boeing order book: Boeing reported January 7th that commercial aircraft orders fell by 60% in 2009 to 263 aircraft in 2009 vs. 662 in 2008.
Boeing order book: Net aircraft orders – actual orders minus actual cancellations - were down to 142 for 2009.
Boeing order backlog: Boeing has a backlog of 3,375 aircraft for delivery through 2017.
Boeing delivered 481 commercial jets in 2009 vs. 375 in 2008: 372 B737s; 8 B747s; 13 B767s; 88 B777s matching guidance of 480 to 485 aircraft.
January 2009
Airbus order book: Airbus booked orders for 310 aircraft (271 net) vs. 900 a year ago. (Airbus reported its 2009 order figures on 12 January 2010).
Airbus deliveries: Airbus delivered a record 498 aircraft (402 A320 family; 86 A330/A340s; 10 A380s) in 2009 vs. 483 in 2008.
EADS estimates it had $60B sales in 2009 vs. $63B in 2008.
January 2009
Embraer deliveries: Delivered 125 commercial jets & 119 business jets (8 ERJs; 117 E-Jets; 18 Legacy 600s; 3 Lineage 1000s; 98 Phenoms) in 2009 vs. 204 in 2008.
Embraer order backlog: Embraer has a backlog of $16.6B.
